Iroh saved his nephew, and he enjoyed every cup of tea. the fate of his nephew or his kingdom, but he knew good tea in the present moment. This is a profound teaching of Taoism. May we all be so wise. Honestly, even as compared to characters in “adult” media, he’s a jaw-droppingly well-written character. But he’s not: he becomes better, and in Zuko, he sees both himself and his son, who he couldn’t help. We really do need a mechanism for a Fibromyalgia Very Bad Would Not Recommend Shirt party to decay though. Like Bernies and Co should be under a different banner than the DNC, but they need to be in the big tent because a third party is just not viable. With a ranked-choice, people don’t have to vote so pragmatically to the old, historical party that is too big to fail.
Yeah. I get so annoyed that everyone seems to think so wrong while fundamentally misunderstanding probability. That number steadily went down as the night went on and states starting falling for the orange traitor of course, but the Fibromyalgia Very Bad Would Not Recommend Shirt honest expectation at the beginning of the day was not only that HC would win the popular vote as did (handily), but also the electoral college. Trump was so excited about his ratings, but they might just be his downfall in the end.
Yeah, I’m aware, and I’d probably buy an Times’ model wasn’t very good and I’d definitely buy an argument that it wasn’t explained well. Polls of battleground states showed a Fibromyalgia Very Bad Would Not Recommend Shirt monumental shift after the Comey letter so models that weighted recent polls more heavily and punisher herding in data did not give her a 95% chance. which, regardless is still not 100% and I’d argue that the likelihood of Trump winning a bunch of battleground states by less than 1% each was ~5% likely. The same would be true of any candidate. Coming out on top every time in states decided by a coin flip is an unlikely event. Misunderstanding what a 30% chance to win means. It does not mean the person with a 70% chance to win will win.